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2024-12-13 05:46:01 <bdo dropzone="1Zk8sb"> <bdo draggable="NwkKw"> <sub dropzone="3wC3uTB"></sub> </bdo> </bdo>

IEA Monthly Report: The decision of OPEC+has reduced the potential oversupply. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said today that the recent decision of OPEC+member countries to postpone the planned production increase has "greatly reduced" the potential oversupply next year. Nevertheless, IEA said that in view of the persistent overproduction in some OPEC+member countries, strong supply growth outside the alliance and moderate global oil demand growth, there may still be a serious oversupply in the oil market in 2025. IEA predicts that even if all OPEC+production reduction plans remain unchanged, supply will exceed demand by about 950,000 barrels per day next year. IEA said that if OPEC members start increasing production in April as planned, the oversupply will increase to 1.4 million barrels per day.European Commission President: Romania and Bulgaria have become full members of the Schengen area. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on social media that Romania and Bulgaria have become full members of the Schengen area.Network Information Office: The Network Security Standards Committee should speed up the development and release of standards such as "Identification Method of Synthetic Content Generated by Artificial Intelligence" and strengthen the research on relevant network security standards such as intelligent networked vehicles. The second "Standards Week" of the National Network Security Standardization Technical Committee in 2024 was held in Haikou City, Hainan Province from December 8 th to 11 th. Wang Jingtao, deputy director of the National Network Information Office, pointed out that standing at a new starting point and a new journey, the Network Security Standards Committee should do a solid job in network security standardization. First, it is necessary to build a national network security defense system supported by standards, and promote the release and implementation of standards such as the boundary determination method of key information infrastructure, the index system of security protection capability, the alarm information format of network security products, and the asset information format as soon as possible, and accelerate the formation of systematic defense capabilities. Second, it is necessary to use standards to help data security governance and supervision, speed up the development of standards such as data classification and classification protection requirements and compliance audit of personal information protection, and ensure the safe and orderly flow of data. Third, it is necessary to lead the safe and orderly development of new technologies and applications such as artificial intelligence with standards and norms, accelerate the development and release of standards such as "Identification Method of Synthetic Content Generated by Artificial Intelligence", and strengthen the research on relevant network security standards such as intelligent networked vehicles and autonomous driving, effectively escorting the safe development of emerging future industries. Fourth, we should use standards to boost the international influence of China's cybersecurity, continue to push China's cybersecurity standards "going global", do our best to run the SC27 international conference in the second half of 2025, and strive to achieve a double harvest of conference organization and conference technical achievements.


Zhu Min, former vice president of IMF: Domestic consumption, manufacturing and green transformation will become the growth drivers of China's economy. Recently, at the China 2024 Annual Meeting and the 22nd Financial Billboard, Zhu Min, former vice president of China International Economic Exchange Center, said that one of the three traditional locomotives of China's economic growth is infrastructure investment; The second is the real estate industry, and the third is export. The transformation of the whole economic structure needs a new growth impetus. Zhu Min said that this new growth driver is, first, based on domestic consumption, and second, insisting on doing a good job in domestic manufacturing and doing high technology; The third is green transformation. We will continue to take the road of sustainable development of green transformation in China and improve our core competitiveness.Dashengda and Tuopai Shede Group set up investment partnerships. According to the enterprise search APP, Sichuan Fujiang Yingke Investment Partnership (Limited Partnership) was recently established with a capital contribution of 200 million yuan. Its business scope includes: asset management services invested by its own funds; Enterprise management consulting; Information technology consulting service. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the enterprise is jointly held by Dashengda and Sichuan Tuopai Shede Group Co., Ltd..Seven members of South Korea's ruling party announced that they would support the impeachment of Yin Xiyue. On the afternoon of the 12th local time, another member of South Korea's ruling National Power Party, Han Zhiya, announced that he would vote in favor of the impeachment of President Yin Xiyue on the 14th. Up to now, seven members of the National Power Party have publicly expressed their support for the impeachment of President Yin Xiyue. According to outside analysis, this means that the possibility of Yin Xiyue's impeachment case being passed in the South Korean National Assembly is further increased. (CCTV News)


Network Information Office: The Network Security Standards Committee should speed up the development and release of standards such as "Identification Method of Synthetic Content Generated by Artificial Intelligence" and strengthen the research on relevant network security standards such as intelligent networked vehicles. The second "Standards Week" of the National Network Security Standardization Technical Committee in 2024 was held in Haikou City, Hainan Province from December 8 th to 11 th. Wang Jingtao, deputy director of the National Network Information Office, pointed out that standing at a new starting point and a new journey, the Network Security Standards Committee should do a solid job in network security standardization. First, it is necessary to build a national network security defense system supported by standards, and promote the release and implementation of standards such as the boundary determination method of key information infrastructure, the index system of security protection capability, the alarm information format of network security products, and the asset information format as soon as possible, and accelerate the formation of systematic defense capabilities. Second, it is necessary to use standards to help data security governance and supervision, speed up the development of standards such as data classification and classification protection requirements and compliance audit of personal information protection, and ensure the safe and orderly flow of data. Third, it is necessary to lead the safe and orderly development of new technologies and applications such as artificial intelligence with standards and norms, accelerate the development and release of standards such as "Identification Method of Synthetic Content Generated by Artificial Intelligence", and strengthen the research on relevant network security standards such as intelligent networked vehicles and autonomous driving, effectively escorting the safe development of emerging future industries. Fourth, we should use standards to boost the international influence of China's cybersecurity, continue to push China's cybersecurity standards "going global", do our best to run the SC27 international conference in the second half of 2025, and strive to achieve a double harvest of conference organization and conference technical achievements.The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.Nordic United Bank: The risk of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cannot be ignored. Nordic United Bank said that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, but there is also a significant risk of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. The differences within the Committee have intensified again, and it is not easy for Lagarde to get another consistent compromise. A possible compromise is to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and at the same time, some guidelines are given, indicating that as long as the ECB's benchmark view remains unchanged, it may cut interest rates again in January. Our benchmark expectation is still to cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the meeting in April next year, when the deposit interest rate is expected to reach 2.25%.

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